Man Vs Machine

Two Hollywood movies about AI are etched in my memories. The first one is Stanley Kubrick’s classic Space Odyssey 2001 which launched this series “Man versus Machine” where Aggregate Asset management’s stock-picking AI is pitted against human beings represented by Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway and various stock market indexes.

The “Man versus Machine” competition is nearly coming to an end. We have beaten everyone except the MSCI AC World Index which we are neck-to-neck and we lost to Warren Buffett significantly. Without sounding presumptive, I think we have demonstrated that AI has a definite place in picking stocks.

We are 10 months into the competition, having clocked nearly 300 days. And we have beaten everyone and every index except Warren Buffett.

Kevin Tok, our co-founder and executive director, posed this challenge to us: Can AI beat human fund managers and analysts in stock selection? The proxy for this would be Aggregate’s own Aggregate Value Fund (AVF), Kong coined this contest “Machine versus Human”. I share both the founders’ innate curiosity and the result is this new column for The Edge Singapore.

After nearly nine months, Deep Deep, our stock picking AI, has achieved an amazing return of 23.42% since inception (Oct 17, 2022). Against the competing benchmarks, Deep Deep has outperformed the DJIA by 7.58 % and Aggregate Value Fund (AVF) by 3.06%.

Deep Deep, our machine learning AI, is still top of the charts after nearly eight months. Since its inception (Oct 17, 2022), Deep Deep’s portfolio has reigned supreme with 23.54% returns, beating Berkshire Hathaway by 1.15% and Aggregate Value Fund (AVF) by 6.66%.

The winning streak of our stock-picking AI, Deep Deep, continues. Since its inception on Oct 17, Deep Deep’s portfolio has returned 22.55%, winning all the competitors’ portfolios (Berkshire Hathaway by 2.37% and Aggregate Value Fund (AVF) by 1.64%) and all the competing benchmarks.

Deep Deep faces its first mini black swan event and still triumphs. On a monthly basis, the Deep Deep portfolio lost out to Aggregate Value Fund (AVF), Berkshire Hathaway and the benchmark indexes. Deep Deep was up 1.1% for the past month. The primary cause was the recent US banking crisis which triggered a massive sale of US banking stocks.

Deep Deep continues to win, gaining 0.34% while beating human-managed portfolios represented by Tong’s Portfolio, Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway, Aggregate Value Fund and all the benchmark indexes despite a lacklustre month in February.

Deep Deep’s supremacy continues. Over the past month, Deep Deep, our machine learning AI, has risen 5.77%, beating all the human portfolios represented by Tong’s Portfolio.